India’s hopes of reaching the T20 World Cup 2026 semi-finals have become more complicated after West Indies crushed Zimbabwe by 107 runs in their Super 8 match at Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai.
India were already under pressure following their loss to South Africa. Now, West Indies’ huge win has made things tougher because of Net Run Rate (NRR). The big margin means India will likely need convincing victories in their remaining matches to stay in the race.
In that game, the West Indies posted a massive 254/6 after Shimron Hetmyer smashed 85 off just 34 balls and Rovman Powell added a quick half-century. Zimbabwe never looked settled during the chase and kept losing wickets regularly. Gudakesh Motie picked up four wickets as they fell far short of the target.
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India’s next match is against Zimbabwe in Chennai on Wednesday. On the same day, South Africa will face the West Indies in Ahmedabad. The result of that match could play a major role in deciding India’s semi-final chances. A South Africa win would work in India’s favour.
Here’s a simple breakdown of how India can still qualify:
Scenario 1: India win both remaining matches
If India beat both West Indies and Zimbabwe, they will finish with four points from three matches.
If South Africa win all their Super 8 matches, both South Africa and India will qualify.
If South Africa lose to West Indies, then India, South Africa and West Indies could all end up with four points. In that case, Net Run Rate will decide the two semi-finalists.
If South Africa lose both their remaining matches, India and West Indies will go through.
Scenario 2: India win only one of their remaining matches
India must defeat West Indies to stay alive in this case.
If South Africa win both their matches and India beat West Indies but lose to Zimbabwe, then India, Zimbabwe and West Indies could end up level on points. Net Run Rate would then decide who qualifies.
However, if South Africa lose both their remaining games, India will not qualify.
Remaining T20 World Cup Super 8 Fixtures in Group 1
Feb 26: South Africa vs West Indies (Ahmedabad)
Feb 26: India vs Zimbabwe (Chennai)
Mar 1: South Africa vs Zimbabwe (Delhi)
Mar 1: India vs West Indies (Kolkata).