EXPLAINED: How deflated England can still enter World Cup 2023's semifinals despite four losses in five games?

After their bumpy ride in the ongoing World Cup 2023, here's how the defending champions England can still turn it around and make their way to the semifinals.

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Abhijeet Kumar Singh

England captain Jos Buttler speaks with to the batters in a meeting ahead of a nets session at Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium on October 28, 2023 in Lucknow, India.

England captain Jos Buttler speaks with to the batters in a meeting ahead of a nets session at Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium on October 28, 2023 in Lucknow, India.

Highlights:

Defending champions are currently placed ninth in the World Cup's points table.

The ODI World Cup 2023 has witnessed unexpected turnarounds, none more surprising than the defending champions, England's roller-coaster campaign. Following their glorious 2019 campaign, England's current run appears to be jeopardised due to back-to-back defeats. Having lost four out of their first five encounters in the ongoing ODI World Cup, their sole victory came against Bangladesh, echoing glimpses of their former dominant self. Now Jos Buttler's men have task cut out against India when they face mighty Rohit Sharma's men on October 29 in Lucknow.

 

Contrastingly, in the remaining games, England seemed out of sync, a shadow of the formidable team transformed under Eoin Morgan's leadership since 2015. Their performance ranged from struggling against New Zealand's batting prowess to a shocking collapse against teams like Afghanistan, Sri Lanka, and South Africa.

 

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With all participating teams garnering points, the competition intensifies, pushing England closer to the exit, currently languishing in ninth place after their recent loss to Sri Lanka in Bengaluru. Their negative net run rate further dents their prospects. Nevertheless, cricket has historically showcased miraculous turnarounds.

 

England's upcoming fixtures include top-tier teams such as India in Lucknow, followed by Australia, Netherlands, and Pakistan. A daunting lineup indeed, but possibly the motivation the Three Lions need to reignite their form.

 

England might be down but no out of the World Cup 2023's semifinal race yet, mathematically.

 

Here's how the World Champions can still make it to World Cup 2023 semifinals.

 

Bagging Four Consecutive Victories (5 wins, 10 points)
 

England's most plausible chance is to secure wins in their upcoming matches. Their formidable opponents, including India, Australia, and Pakistan, however, won't make it easy. Should England triumph in all their forthcoming matches, there's a good chance they'll be tied with other teams based on points, leading to net run rate comparisons.

Recalling the 1992 and 2019 tournaments, which had a similar format, Pakistan (1992 winners) and New Zealand (2019 finalists) advanced to the semis with comparable records. England could emulate this, albeit requiring significant wins to bolster their net run rate.

 

Securing Three Out of Four (4 wins, 8 points)


With four wins, England might still harbor semi-final dreams. For this to become reality, they'd rely heavily on the top three teams maintaining their form, except when facing England. They'd also hope for teams above them to experience consistent losses, although this scenario is improbable given these teams frequently play against each other, guaranteeing points for one.

A single defeat in their upcoming matches might dim their hopes, barring an unprecedented twist in the tournament's tale pushing England into the top four.

 

Winning Just Two More (3 wins, 6 points)


This scenario would seal England's fate, ending their semi-final aspirations.

 

Clinching Just One Victory (2 wins, 4 points)


A lone victory would unequivocally result in England's campaign termination.

 

Facing Four More Defeats (1 win, 2 points)


A complete loss in their remaining matches would not only signify England's exit but also risk them inheriting an unwelcome record currently held by Sri Lanka from the 1999 World Cup edition.

 

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